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The Open Future: Why Future Contingents Are All False

by Patrick Todd

A classical-logic case for an open, unsettled future

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Hardcover New English

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AlbakiReads Editorial

A classical-logic case for an open, unsettled future

Patrick Todd advances a deliberately strong version of the open-future position: when some future matter remains undetermined, statements asserting how it will turn out are false. The book develops this metaphysical argument alongside its implications for classical logic, comparing the account with Ockhamist, supervaluationist, and relativist approaches. It also brings linguistic work on neg-raising, philosophical debates about omniscience, and theories of counterfactuals into the discussion. A substantial part of the inquiry addresses practical pressures on the view, including betting, degrees of belief about future events, and norms governing assertion. The central concern is the longstanding philosophical problem of how to speak and reason about contingent futures.

Good fit for readers who enjoy

  • Readers of metaphysics focused on time, modality, and truth
  • Students and scholars interested in classical logic and future contingents
  • Readers exploring philosophy of religion, counterfactuals, or theories of assertion

Themes

Open futureFuture contingentsTruth and falsityClassical logicMetaphysics of time

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Book overview

In The Open Future: Why Future Contingents are all False, Patrick Todd launches a sustained defense of a radical interpretation of the doctrine of the open future. He argues that all claims about undetermined aspects of the future are simply false. Todd argues that this theory is metaphysically more parsimonius than its rivals, and that objections to its logical and practical coherence are much overblown. Todd shows how proponents of this view can maintain classical logic, and argues that the view has substantial advantages over Ockhamist, supervaluationist, and relativist alternatives. Todd draws inspiration from theories of ''neg-raising'' in linguistics, from debates about omniscience within the philosophy of religion, and defends a crucial comparison between his account of future contingents and certain more familiar theories of counterfactuals. Further, Todd defends his theory of the open future from the charges that it cannot make sense of our practices of betting, makes our credences regarding future contingents unintelligible, and is at odds with proper norms of assertion. In the end, in Todd's classical open future, we have a compelling new solution to the longstanding "problem of future contingents".
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