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Combining Fuzzy Imprecision with Probabilistic Uncertainty in Decision Making

Combining Fuzzy Imprecision with Probabilistic Uncertainty in Decision Making

SPRINGER NATURE

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In the literature of decision analysis it is traditional to rely on the tools provided by probability theory to deal with problems in which uncertainty plays a substantive role. In recent years, however, it has become increasingly clear that uncertainty is a mul- tifaceted concept in which some of the important facets do not lend themselves to analysis by probability-based methods. One such facet is that of fuzzy imprecision, which is associated with the use of fuzzy predicates exemplified by small, large, fast, near, likely, etc. To be more specific, consider a proposition such as "It is very unlikely that the price of oil will decline sharply in the near future," in which the italicized words play the role of fuzzy predicates. The question is: How can one express the mean- ing of this proposition through the use of probability-based methods? If this cannot be done effectively in a probabilistic framework, then how can one employ the information provided by the proposition in question to bear on a decision relating to an investment in a company engaged in exploration and marketing of oil? As another example, consider a collection of rules of the form "If X is Ai then Y is B, " j = 1, . . ., n, in which X and Yare real-valued variables and Ai and Bi are fuzzy numbers exemplified by small, large, not very small, close to 5, etc.
Accessories:
No Accessory
Publisher
SPRINGER NATURE
Bisac Major Subject
Gardening
Bisac Minor Subject
General
Binding Type
Paperback
Edition Description
Softcover Repri
Country Of Origin
DE
Number Of Units
1
Length
9.61 Inches
Barcode Indicator
EAN
Width
6.69 Inches
Publication Date
1970-01-01
Height
0.84 Inches
ISBN 10
3540500057
Weight
1.44 Pounds
Book EAN
9783540500056
Target Audiance
Adults

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