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How We Know What Isn't So

by Thomas Gilovich

Why everyday certainty can mislead

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Paperback New English

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AlbakiReads Editorial

Why everyday certainty can mislead

Thomas Gilovich examines the mental shortcuts that make familiar assumptions feel self-evident, even when the evidence is less secure. Using everyday beliefs such as winning streaks, the influence of flattery, and the apparent wisdom of group agreement, the book traces cognitive, social, and motivational forces behind mistaken judgments. Research-backed examples connect abstract ideas about bias and stereotyping to decisions made amid complex, overloaded information. Gilovich frames recognizing these recurring errors as a practical starting point for more careful analysis and action.

Good fit for readers who enjoy

  • Readers interested in cognitive psychology and judgment
  • People curious about biases in everyday decision-making
  • Those seeking research-based discussion of beliefs and stereotypes

Themes

Cognitive biasJudgment and decision-makingSocial influenceStereotypesCritical thinking

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Book overview

Thomas Gilovich offers a wise and readable guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life.

When can we trust what we believe--that "teams and players have winning streaks," that "flattery works," or that "the more people who agree, the more likely they are to be right"--and when are such beliefs suspect? Thomas Gilovich offers a guide to the fallacy of the obvious in everyday life. Illustrating his points with examples, and supporting them with the latest research findings, he documents the cognitive, social, and motivational processes that distort our thoughts, beliefs, judgments and decisions. In a rapidly changing world, the biases and stereotypes that help us process an overload of complex information inevitably distort what we would like to believe is reality. Awareness of our propensity to make these systematic errors, Gilovich argues, is the first step to more effective analysis and action.
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