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The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End

by Neil Howe

A generational framework for understanding America’s crisis

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AlbakiReads Editorial

A generational framework for understanding America’s crisis

Neil Howe revisits the cyclical theory of history he developed with William Strauss, applying its four “turnings” to contemporary American unrest. The book presents the current period as a fourth turning and uses that framework to forecast how the crisis might unfold through the early 2030s. Alongside its account of polarization and political, social, and economic challenges, it considers how different living generations may be affected and what communities and families might do to prepare. Its central subject is the relationship between long historical cycles, generational identity, and the possible direction of the United States.

Good fit for readers who enjoy

  • Readers interested in theories of American history and historical cycles.
  • Readers exploring generational differences in relation to politics and society.
  • Readers seeking a framework for thinking about future challenges facing the United States.

Themes

Historical cyclesGenerational identityAmerican politics and social changeCrisis and national mobilizationFutures and preparedness

Based on publisher information and book metadata.

Book overview

The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America's past to predict our future in this "riveting and revelatory" (Tony Robbins) prophecy for how our present era of unrest will resolve over the next ten years--and what our lives will look like afterward.

Thirty years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they'd uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras--or "turnings"--that always arrive in the same order and each last about twenty years. The last of these eras--the fourth turning--was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution.

Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived...and Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us--the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war--will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America's next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.

"Big history and bold futurology" (The Wall Street Journal), The Fourth Turning Is Here takes us deep into the collective personality of each living generation to make sense of our current crisis. explore how all of us will be differently affected by the political, social, and economic challenges we'll face in the decade to come, and reveal how our country, our communities, and our families can best prepare to meet these challenges ahead.
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